GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lechia T. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

11.0%

Lechia T. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIDDWDD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiWLLLD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IILechia T. Mazowiecki
48.0Attack100.0
46.1Defence33.3
44.1Form100.0
46.8Power80.3
1.49xG1.82
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