GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/29/2025, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lechia T. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Lechia T. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IILWWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiLWLDL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Jagiellonia IILechia T. Mazowiecki
48.0Attack100.0
46.1Defence33.3
44.1Form100.0
46.8Power80.3
1.49xG1.82
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