GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/21/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lechia T. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Lechia T. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IILLWLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiDWWDW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IILechia T. Mazowiecki
48.0Attack100.0
46.1Defence33.3
44.1Form100.0
46.8Power80.3
1.49xG1.82
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