GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/3/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Concordia Elbląg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

70.2%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IILLLWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Concordia ElblągWLDLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IIConcordia Elbląg
48.0Attack36.3
46.1Defence3.9
44.1Form29.4
46.8Power24.3
2.82xG1.03
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