GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/22/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Broń Radom are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Broń Radom hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IILWLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Broń RadomWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IIBroń Radom
48.0Attack38.2
46.1Defence57.8
44.1Form47.1
46.8Power49.1
1.31xG1.15
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