Jagiellonia IIvs
Bełchatów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/15/2025, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Jagiellonia II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bełchatów are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40