Jagiellonia IIvs
Bełchatów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/29/2023, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Jagiellonia II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bełchatów are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80