GGOALVIO

Croatia · Cup · 8/30/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jadran Poreč · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jadran Poreč are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mladost Ždralovi are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jadran Poreč hold a 41.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Cup, while Jadran Poreč holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jadran Poreč

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Jadran Poreč has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jadran PorečLDD

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.33/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Mladost ŽdraloviWLLWL

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Jadran PorečMladost Ždralovi
33.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence33.3
66.7Form0.0
64.8Power23.7
2.15xG1.34
View match centre →