Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Jadran LP are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Zrinjski are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Zrinjski hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (28.6 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Zrinjski holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80