Jadran LPvs
Orijent 1919
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jadran LP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jadran LP 1-0 Orijent 1919
Original prediction
Jadran LP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.8% | 39.2% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.7% | 29.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.5% | 31.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Jadran LP
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Jadran LP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80