Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jadran LP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jadran LP 0-0 Kustosija, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jadran LP 1-0 Kustosija
Original prediction
Jadran LP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.3% | 37.7% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.7% | 30.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.0% | 32.0% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Projected Score
Jadran LP 0–0 Kustosija
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Jadran LP
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Jadran LP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Jadran LPWWLDW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KustosijaWLDLD
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Jadran LPKustosija
33.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form66.7
45.3Power64.8
1.00xG0.97