Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jadran LP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jadran LP 1-0 Dugopolje, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jadran LP 4-4 Dugopolje
Original prediction
Jadran LP
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.0% | 53.5% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 25.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.6% | 20.8% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Jadran LP 1–0 Dugopolje
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Jadran LP
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Jadran LP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Jadran LPDLWWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DugopoljeLLWLD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Jadran LPDugopolje
54.2Attack37.5
66.7Defence58.3
62.5Form37.5
63.0Power47.4
1.49xG0.72