GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 9/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jadran LP · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Jadran LP 1-1 Dubrava Zagreb

Original prediction

Jadran LP

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7153.2%43.9%-9.3 pts
Draw3.5425.7%28.7%3.1 pts
Away4.2921.1%27.4%6.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Jadran LP

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Jadran LP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jadran LPWDWWW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dubrava ZagrebLLLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Jadran LPDubrava Zagreb
50.0Attack36.4
50.0Defence55.6
50.0Form38.4
50.0Power45.2
1.30xG0.88
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