GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/10/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jacó · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Jacó are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Puerto Golfito are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jacó hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (29.2 v 9.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Jacó holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jacó

Probability

68.8%

Model confidence

68.8%

Jacó has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JacóLLWLD

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Puerto GolfitoLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JacóPuerto Golfito
52.2Attack9.3
10.1Defence0.0
21.7Form1.9
29.2Power9.3
2.90xG1.15
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