Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Jacó are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Antioquia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (29.2 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Antioquia
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20