Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Jacó are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Antioquia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (29.2 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Antioquia
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00