Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Jacó are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 51.2-point power-rating edge (29.2 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AD Sarchí
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20