Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Jacó are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 51.2-point power-rating edge (29.2 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AD Sarchí
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 2.50/3.50
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33