GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/26/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Jacó are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (29.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JacóLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JacóAD Carmelita
52.2Attack66.7
10.1Defence33.3
21.7Form33.3
29.2Power45.3
1.65xG2.39
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