Izhevskvs
Rubin Kazan 2
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Izhevsk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Izhevsk 1-1 Rubin Kazan 2
Original prediction
Izhevsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.6% | 41.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 28.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.9% | 30.1% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Izhevsk
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Izhevsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60