Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Izhevsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Izhevsk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nosta are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Izhevsk hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.4% in the Second League - Group 4, while Izhevsk holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Izhevsk
Probability
71.4%
Model confidence
71.4%
Izhevsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60