Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rostov II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Izberbash are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Rostov II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Rostov II hold a 44.6-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 72.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Second League - Group 1, while Rostov II holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rostov II
Probability
88.3%
Model confidence
14.7%
Rostov II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20