Iwakivs
Oita Trinita
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iwaki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Iwaki 2-0 Oita Trinita
Original prediction
Iwaki
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 52.9% | 41.9% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 26.3% | 28.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.82 | 20.9% | 30.1% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Iwaki
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Iwaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IwakiLLWWW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Oita TrinitaWDLWD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IwakiOita Trinita
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24