Iwakivs
Jubilo Iwata
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/25/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iwaki · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Iwaki 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Original prediction
Iwaki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.3% | 38.1% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.7% | 29.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 35.0% | 32.3% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Iwaki
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Iwaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IwakiDWWLL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Jubilo IwataDDLWL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IwakiJubilo Iwata
52.8Attack36.1
50.0Defence61.1
44.4Form41.7
49.2Power48.7
1.32xG0.98