Iwakivs
Blaublitz Akita
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blaublitz Akita · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Iwaki 1-0 Blaublitz Akita
Original prediction
Blaublitz Akita
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.2% | 32.8% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 29.0% | 29.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.8% | 37.7% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Blaublitz Akita
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Blaublitz Akita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80