Ivory Coast leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Ivory Coast head into this in World Cup fixture at AT&T Stadium struggling for consistency (LWLWL), while Norway arrive in strong form (LWWLW). Ivory Coast have a 40% win rate across their last 5 matches, compared to 67% for Norway over 6 games.

The model rates Ivory Coast's attack at 50/100 against a 33/100 Norway defence, and Norway's attack at 78/100 against a 50/100 Ivory Coast backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Ivory Coast have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Norway have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Ivory Coast have generated 0.61 xG per game recently while conceding 0.92 xG per match. Norway have generated 1.32 xG per game recently while conceding 1.48 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 75% of recent matches.

Norway have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Ivory Coast to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Ivory Coast 4360%, Draw 2520%, Norway 3120%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Recent form

Ivory Coast

L

vs Norway

30 Jun 2026

1–2

W

@ Curaçao

25 Jun 2026

2–0

L

@ Germany

20 Jun 2026

1–2

xG 1.2

W

vs Ecuador

15 Jun 2026

1–0

L

@ Egypt

10 Jan 2026

2–3

xG 0.0

Norway

L

vs England

11 Jul 2026

1–2

xG 0.8

W

@ Brazil

5 Jul 2026

2–1

xG 0.7

W

@ Ivory Coast

30 Jun 2026

2–1

L

vs France

26 Jun 2026

1–4

xG 1.7

W

vs Senegal

23 Jun 2026

3–2

xG 2.1

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