Ivory Coastvs
Ghana
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 9/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ivory Coast · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ivory Coast 2-0 Ghana
Original prediction
Ivory Coast
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 57.5% | 46.6% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.1% | 28.0% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 5.61 | 16.4% | 25.4% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Ivory Coast
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Ivory Coast has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20