Ivory Coastvs
Cameroon
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ivory Coast · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ivory Coast 0-1 Cameroon
Original prediction
Ivory Coast
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 51.6% | 44.9% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.1% | 28.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.77 | 19.3% | 26.6% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Ivory Coast
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Ivory Coast has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80