Ivinhemavs
Operario Ferroviario
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/26/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ivinhema are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Operario Ferroviario are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ivinhema hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80