GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 4/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merani Tbilisi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Iveria Khashuri are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Merani Tbilisi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Tbilisi hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (32.2 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Liga 3, while Merani Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merani Tbilisi

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Merani Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Iveria KhashuriDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Merani TbilisiWDLWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Iveria KhashuriMerani Tbilisi
27.5Attack45.1
41.2Defence54.9
19.6Form51.0
32.2Power49.9
0.76xG1.55
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