Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flandria · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ituzaingó 0-0 Flandria, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ituzaingó 1-3 Flandria
Original prediction
Flandria
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.56 | 16.1% | 20.6% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.6% | 30.9% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 57.3% | 48.6% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Projected Score
Ituzaingó 0–0 Flandria
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Flandria
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Flandria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ItuzaingóDDLLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FlandriaWWDLL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ItuzaingóFlandria
22.5Attack30.0
46.7Defence60.0
14.2Form37.5
30.9Power45.0
0.56xG0.93