Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dock Sud · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ituzaingó 0-1 Dock Sud, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ituzaingó 0-2 Dock Sud
Original prediction
Dock Sud
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.65 | 24.6% | 23.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.5% | 30.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 44.9% | 45.9% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Ituzaingó 0–1 Dock Sud
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Dock Sud
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Dock Sud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ItuzaingóLDDLD
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Dock SudWDLWD
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ItuzaingóDock Sud
19.8Attack37.5
49.0Defence64.6
14.6Form41.7
30.9Power49.1
0.48xG1.12