Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dock Sud · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Ituzaingó are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dock Sud are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Dock Sud hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.0% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Dock Sud holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dock Sud
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
23.0%
Dock Sud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40