Ituzaingóvs
Deportivo Merlo
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 8/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Merlo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Ituzaingó are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Merlo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and deportivo Merlo hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the Primera B Metropolitana, favouring Deportivo Merlo with 16.7% confidence, a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Merlo
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
16.7%
Deportivo Merlo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00