Ituzaingóvs
Defensores Unidos
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/25/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensores Unidos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ituzaingó 0-0 Defensores Unidos, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ituzaingó 0-1 Defensores Unidos
Original prediction
Defensores Unidos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 29.9% | 22.2% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.6% | 33.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 38.5% | 44.6% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Projected Score
Ituzaingó 0–0 Defensores Unidos
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Defensores Unidos
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Defensores Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40