Ituzaingóvs
Argentino Quilmes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Argentino Quilmes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ituzaingó 0-0 Argentino Quilmes, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ituzaingó 2-2 Argentino Quilmes
Original prediction
Argentino Quilmes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.33 | 20.8% | 20.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.5% | 33.8% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 49.7% | 45.7% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Projected Score
Ituzaingó 0–0 Argentino Quilmes
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Argentino Quilmes
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Argentino Quilmes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40