Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ituano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ituano 0-1 Paysandu
Original prediction
Ituano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Ituano
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Ituano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ItuanoLWLLL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PaysanduLWLWL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ItuanoPaysandu
35.3Attack49.0
64.7Defence49.0
43.1Form51.0
49.0Power51.6
1.15xG0.96