Serie CSerie C
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 10:05
Ituano

Ituano

Home
L
00
Full time
Maranhão

Maranhão

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Ituano(45%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Ituano
45%
Draw
31%
Maranhão
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ituano
9
Maranhão
9
Defence
Ituano
66
Maranhão
66
Momentum
Ituano
0
Maranhão
0
Danger (xG)
Ituano
0.00
Maranhão
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Ituano)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Maranhão)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Ituano)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Maranhão)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ItuanoItuano
LD
MaranhãoMaranhão
LD

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Ituano45%
Draw31%
Maranhão24%

Ituano leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ituano head into this in Serie C fixture in mixed form (L), while Maranhão arrive in mixed form (L). Ituano have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Maranhão over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Ituano (66/100) and Maranhão (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Ituano have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. Maranhão have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Ituano to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Ituano 4480%, Draw 3140%, Maranhão 2380%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Ituano 0Draws 10 Maranhão
Avg goals: 0.0
29 Jun 2026
Ituano
D00
Maranhão

Recent form

Ituano

Ituano

L
@ Santa Cruz
4 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Maranhão
29 Jun 2026
00
Maranhão

Maranhão

L
vs Inter De Limeira
4 Jul 2026
01
D
@ Ituano
29 Jun 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ituano vs Maranhão?

GoalVio's model predicts Ituano to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Maranhão?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Ituano vs Maranhão?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ituano vs Maranhão?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more