Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ituano are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Ceara are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.9 against 47.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 2.67/0.67