GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista - U20 · 6/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ituano U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ituano U20 are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Referencia U20 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ituano U20 hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Paulista - U20, while Ituano U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ituano U20

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

14.6%

Ituano U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ituano U20WDDDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Referencia U20LLLLW

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ituano U20Referencia U20
26.7Attack20.0
40.0Defence36.7
26.7Form13.3
34.1Power27.1
1.16xG0.89
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