Ituano U20vs
Flamengo SP U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ituano U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ituano U20 3-0 Flamengo SP U20
Original prediction
Ituano U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 48.5% | 37.3% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.2% | 28.7% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.3% | 34.1% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Ituano U20
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Ituano U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60