Ittihad Tangervs
Widad Témara
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 9/19/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ittihad Tanger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ittihad Tanger 1-0 Widad Témara
Original prediction
Ittihad Tanger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 07:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.7% | 41.7% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.9% | 27.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 22.4% | 30.8% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ittihad Tanger
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Ittihad Tanger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00