Ittihad Tangervs
Moghreb Tetouan
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola Pro · 10/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ittihad Tanger · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ittihad Tanger 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan
Original prediction
Ittihad Tanger
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.7% | 44.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.7% | 28.7% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.6% | 26.9% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Ittihad Tanger
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Ittihad Tanger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40