Ittihad Tangervs
Maghreb Fès
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola Pro · 10/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ittihad Tanger 2-1 Maghreb Fès
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 29.9% | 33.4% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.69 | 33.6% | 30.4% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.5% | 36.1% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.4%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ittihad TangerLDWWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Maghreb FèsDWWDW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ittihad TangerMaghreb Fès
55.6Attack44.4
55.6Defence77.8
44.4Form77.8
53.1Power70.7
1.08xG1.13