Ittihad Kalba U23vs
Ajman U23
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · 9/12/2026, 1:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ittihad Kalba U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ittihad Kalba U23 0-1 Ajman U23
Original prediction
Ittihad Kalba U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.8% | 37.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.7% | 25.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.5% | 36.8% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ittihad Kalba U23
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Ittihad Kalba U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60