Ittifaqvs
Gulf United
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 9/12/2026, 2:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ittifaq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ittifaq 0-1 Gulf United
Original prediction
Ittifaq
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.4% | 39.3% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.1% | 26.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.5% | 34.5% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ittifaq
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Ittifaq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20