Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Itesalat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Itesalat 0-0 Tanta SC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Itesalat 3-1 Tanta SC
Original prediction
Itesalat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.3% | 39.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.72 | 33.3% | 32.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.4% | 28.9% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Projected Score
Itesalat 0–0 Tanta SC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Itesalat
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Itesalat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ItesalatWWLLD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Tanta SCLDWDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ItesalatTanta SC
44.4Attack22.2
66.7Defence77.8
66.7Form44.4
61.0Power51.1
1.00xG0.73