Itesalatvs
Ismaily SC
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 8/28/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Itesalat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Itesalat 2-1 Ismaily SC
Original prediction
Itesalat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.5% | 37.4% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.64 | 34.5% | 31.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.0% | 31.3% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Itesalat
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Itesalat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ItesalatLLDLD
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Ismaily SCLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ItesalatIsmaily SC
0.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power15.3
1.12xG0.98