GGOALVIO

Egypt · Second League · 10/3/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Itesalat · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Itesalat are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gomhoreyat Shebin are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Itesalat hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Second League, while Itesalat holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Itesalat

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Itesalat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ItesalatW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Gomhoreyat ShebinL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
ItesalatGomhoreyat Shebin
39.3Attack23.8
65.5Defence56.0
46.4Form29.8
52.0Power39.2
1.16xG0.44
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