Itesalatvs
El Mansura
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 10/9/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Itesalat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Itesalat 1-0 El Mansura, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Itesalat 0-1 El Mansura
Original prediction
Itesalat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.1% | 48.5% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 32.5% | 30.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 22.5% | 21.4% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Projected Score
Itesalat 1–0 El Mansura
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Itesalat
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Itesalat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ItesalatWWLWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
El MansuraWLDDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
ItesalatEl Mansura
52.4Attack38.1
76.2Defence66.7
71.4Form52.4
67.4Power54.0
1.19xG0.60