Itesalatvs
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 10/22/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Itesalat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Itesalat 1-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Itesalat 0-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
Original prediction
Itesalat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 10:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.4% | 52.1% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 33.0% | 29.7% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 23.6% | 18.2% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Projected Score
Itesalat 1–0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Itesalat
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Itesalat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00